My current research and applied policy work is organized around four active projects. Three examine how national identity, migration, and belonging are shaped in democratic and democratizing societies, while a fourth extends this agenda into applied research on AI, labour-market change, and workforce intelligence.

Active Projects

I. Fairness or Threat? Understanding Sources of Immigration Backlash in Democracies

Duration: 12 months (2025-2026) · PI: Steven Denney (Leiden University) · Funding: Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO)

Overview

Immigration is one of the most contentious political issues in contemporary democracies, generating public backlash and policy instability. Explanations for immigration attitudes have traditionally emphasized two perspectives: group threat theory, which holds that dominant groups react defensively when immigration challenges cultural identity, national character, or established hierarchies; and economic competition theory, which views attitudes as shaped by perceived individual or national economic risks. Recent work introduces a third perspective: civic fairness, which claims that citizens assess immigration through moral principles of legal compliance and equal opportunity, potentially superseding both group-based concerns and economic calculations.

This project extends the civic fairness framework by testing whether perceptions of fairness override, complement, or contradict threat- and competition-based considerations across different democratic contexts. The project employs experimental surveys in the United States, Germany, South Korea, and Singapore.

Output

Forthcoming

II. Textbooks, Nation, and AI: Reconstructing Korean National Identity

Duration: 2 years (2026-2028) · PI: Steven Denney (Leiden University) · Collaborators: Aron van de Pol (Leiden University) · Funding: Academy of Korean Studies

Overview

This project sits at the intersection of digital humanities and social science, using text analysis and survey methods to study how national identity is constructed and transmitted through education. Working with a corpus of South Korean national history textbooks spanning from 1948 through 2016, collected from the National Institute of Korean History and the Georg Eckert Institute, the project covers the post-liberation authoritarian regimes and the democratic era, each presenting different grand narratives of the Korean nation.

The project proceeds in two stages. First, we use AI-assisted text analysis to identify how the nation is narrated across different periods and what type of national identity is articulated in each era's textbooks. Second, we design a survey experiment that draws directly from these textbook-derived narratives, asking South Koreans to evaluate competing versions of the nation rather than respond to abstract hypotheticals. This design allows us to test whether individuals favor the version of the nation that reflects what they learned during their school years, as theories of long-run political socialization would predict.

Output

Papers in Progress

  • "Constructing the Nation: Identity and Historical Narratives in South Korean History Textbooks," with Aron van de Pol.
  • "Variations in Nation-Building: Sorting National History Education in Transitional Regimes," with Myunghee Lee and Aron van de Pol.

Presentations

III. AI Workforce Intelligence Initiative

Duration: 8 months (2026) · Researcher: Steven Denney (Leiden University) · Collaborator: Viet Vu (The Dais, Toronto Metropolitan University) · Funding: Government of Canada (AI and Technology Measurement Program / TechStat)

Overview

This project lays the groundwork for an ongoing initiative to track AI's impacts and trends on Canada's workforce and economy. It addresses three core questions: What data and measures allow ongoing analysis of how AI is penetrating the Canadian economy? What methodologies can identify AI's impact on the labour market? And how can this intelligence be mobilized to support policymakers, industry, and education systems?

The project proceeds through three workstreams. The first develops an AI Workforce Intelligence Measurement Framework — an environmental scan identifying key measures of AI diffusion and impact, categorized by domain, frequency, and accessibility, with gap analysis aligned with Statistics Canada's TechStat initiatives. The second is a pilot study on GenAI's impact on young workers and entry-level jobs, combining GenAI usage indicators, occupational exposure measures, and comparative methodologies for isolating AI's labour market effects since ChatGPT's release. The third workstream develops an AI Workforce Monitor, a publicly accessible interactive data dashboard tracking key measures of AI adoption and disruption in Canada's workforce, modeled on the Dais Inclusive Innovation Monitor and Harvard's Generative AI Adoption Tracker.

Output

Forthcoming

IV. Nationalism and Political Change: Why Institutions Matter for National Identity and Belonging

Duration: Ongoing (2022-present) · PI: Steven Denney (Leiden University) · Collaborators: H. Christoph Steinhardt (University of Vienna), Myunghee Lee (Michigan State University) · Funding: Academy of Korean Studies; Leiden University; University of Vienna

Overview

This project focuses on the relationship between political system change and preferences for national membership and belonging. Existing research suggests that preferences and institutions align and that citizens in democracies have national identities that are more open and inclusive than those in authoritarian countries, but it remains unclear how democratization affects national identity in newer democracies with authoritarian and ethnocultural legacies.

The project utilizes cross-sectional data that measures attitudes toward national identity, immigration, diversity, and related variables in (South) Korea, Germany, and Taiwan, supplemented by new survey experiments and other data sources.

Output

Books

  • Nationalism Under Democracy: Why Institutions Matter for National Identity and Belonging [in progress]

Peer-Reviewed Articles

  • Denney, S., Steinhardt, H. C., & Bhowmick, L. (2026). Identity conformity in Taiwan and South Korea: Why citizens in divided societies are pressured to overstate national pride. Nationalism and Ethnic Politics. Advance online publication. DOI Replication materials
  • Green, C., & Denney, S. (2024). Why do democratic societies tolerate undemocratic laws? Sorting public support for the National Security Act in South Korea. Democratization, 31(1), 113–131. DOI Replication materials

Working Papers

  • Denney, S., & Steinhardt, H. C. Measuring national identity with conjoint experiments using the case of Taiwan. [Under review] — Working paper
  • Denney, S., Fraser, N., & Steinhardt, H. C. Cues of commitment: Integration and naturalization support in South Korea and Taiwan. [Under review] — Working paper
  • Denney, S., van Dam, I., & Green, C. Persuasion and prejudice: Are South Korean attitudes toward immigration open to change? [Under review] — Working paper
  • Denney, S. Inference under constraint: The problem and potential of using North Korean (defector-)migrant surveys. [Preparing for submission] — Slides

Papers in Progress

  • "The Resettlement of North Korean Migrants and Identity Change in Korea."

Presentations


Recently Completed

Integration Challenges and Opportunities in Divided Countries

Duration: 12 months (2024-25) · PI: Steven Denney (European Centre for North Korean Studies, University of Vienna) · Collaborators: Ruediger Frank, Robin Brehm, Tianzi Zhou (European Centre for North Korean Studies, University of Vienna), Peter Ward (Sejong Institute) · Funding: 2023 Overseas North Korea-Unification Policy Academic Research Support Grant, Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES), Kyungnam University

Overview

This project explores the challenges and opportunities associated with the social integration of people in divided nations, concentrating specifically on Germany's reunification experience and the present-day assimilation of North Korean defector-migrants into South Korea.

Output

Peer-Reviewed Articles

  • Ward, P., & Denney, S. (2025). Welfare chauvinism in divided societies: The role of national identity in social policy preferences. Policy and Society. Advance online publication. DOI Replication materials
  • Denney, S., Zhou, T., & Brehm, R. (2025). From division to democracy: Integration of post-communist citizens in Germany and South Korea. Communist and Post-Communist Studies. Advance online publication. DOI Replication materials

Research Monograph

  • Denney, S., Ward, P., Brehm, R., Frank, R., & Zhou, T. (2023). Integration challenges and opportunities in divided countries: A comparative analysis of Germany and South Korea. European Centre for North Korean Studies (ECNK), University of Vienna. PDF

Presentations

The National Scale-Ups Project

Duration: 2019–2023 · PI: Steven Denney (Innovation Policy Lab, University of Toronto) · Collaborators: David Wolfe (University of Toronto), Viet Vu (Brookfield Institute), Ryan Kelly (University of Toronto); University of Vienna, Toronto Metropolitan University, ISED Canada · Funding: Mitacs Accelerate; Treasury Board Secretariat of Canada; Facebook; Brookfield Institute

Overview

A collaborative effort exploring the landscape of high-performing firms, known as "scale-ups," and their impact on key policy objectives, such as employment gains, technological innovation, and economic competitiveness. Uses administrative micro-files linked to financial and survey data.

Output

Peer-Reviewed Articles

  • Denney, S., Wolfe, D., & Southin, T. (2023). Do winners pick government? How scale-up experience shapes entrepreneurs' assessments of innovation policy mixes. Science and Public Policy, 50(5), 858–870. DOI
  • Wolfe, D. A., DiFrancesco, R. J., & Denney, S. (2022). Localization of global networks: New mandates for MNEs in regional economies. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 15(2), 323–342. DOI

Working Papers

  • Denney, S., Kelly, R., & Wolfe, D. Innovation policy in practice: Assessing Canada's Business Innovation and Growth Support framework. [Under review] — Working paper

Research Monograph

  • Denney, S., Vu, V., & Kelly, R. (2021). Into the scale-up-verse: Exploring the landscape of Canada's high performing firms. Innovation Policy Lab and Brookfield Institute. Project page

Reports

Presentations

Media

Information Dissemination in North Korea

Duration: 2 years (2019–2021) · PIs: Steven Denney, Peter Ward · Funding: National Endowment for Democracy

Overview

Identifies determinants of non-state information dissemination within North Korean society using experimental and observational surveys.

Output

Peer-Reviewed Articles

  • Denney, S., & Ward, P. (2023). How autocracies disrupt unsanctioned information flows: The role of state power and social capital in North Korea. Problems of Post-Communism, 71(2), 177–191. DOI Replication materials

Reports

Applications

Presentations

Media

Unification in Action? North Korean Migrant Integration and Support Expansion

Duration: 2 years (2021–2023) · PIs: Steven Denney, Christopher Green, Peter Ward · Funding: Academy of Korean Studies (AKS-2021-R-083)

Overview

Investigates public attitudes and public policies regarding migrant entrepreneurship and integration, leveraging the case of North Korean migrant resettlement in South Korea.

Output

Peer-Reviewed Articles

  • Denney, S., Ward, P., & Green, C. (2024). 한국인의 남북통일방식에 대한 의식 결정요인 분석 [Analyzing the determinants of South Korean attitudes toward Korean unification: A conjoint analysis]. 국가전략 [National Strategy], 30(1), 137–163. DOI
  • Denney, S., & Green, C. (2024). Public attitudes towards co-ethnic migrant integration: Evidence from South Korea. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 50(8), 1998–2022. DOI Replication materials
  • Denney, S., Ward, P., & Green, C. (2024). Public support for migrant entrepreneurship: The case of North Koreans in the Republic of Korea. International Migration Review, 58(2), 781–805. DOI Replication materials
  • Ward, P., & Denney, S. (2022). Welfare chauvinism among co-ethnics: Evidence from a conjoint experiment in South Korea. International Migration, 60(5), 74–90. DOI Replication materials
  • Denney, S., & Green, C. (2021). North Korean patriotism: Assessing the success and failures of a nation. Korea Journal, 61(1), 154–185. DOI Replication materials

Reports

Presentations